In a second part of the paper, a cost effectiveness analysis of adaptation in nigerian agriculture is conducted. According to a nest study, building nigerias response to climate change, less than 2% of farming in nigeria uses irrigation. More efforts have been made to quantify the economic impact of climate change on agriculture in developed countries than developing countries. The study revealed that the effect of climatic variables on crop. Considering the alarming predictions of researchers and policy makers concerning the natural phenomenon climate change, this study effects of climate change on agricultural sustainability implications for food security was carried out in. That climate change has disastrous consequences which nigeria has began to experience especially in the southern nigeria as reflected in the massive flood experienced in 2012. The lead off paper is by ferdinand mawunya and samuel adiku and is entitled, implications of climate change for agric. We examine the effect of climate change on the shortrun and longrun productivity using the autoregressive distributed lag model ardl. Department of agricultural economics and extension, university of port harcourt, nigeria. Such climate change may influence agriculture in a positive way co 2 fertilization.
The sector is being transformed by commercialization at the small, medium and largescale enterprise levels. Implication for agricultural extension system in nigeria ifeanyiobi c. The implications of climate change on water supply, and thus on the other key sectors is simulated, together with the demand for water from other sectors as affected by climate change. Apata variability, these studies assumed that farmers could adapt to climate change by changing crop varieties and timing of planting and harvesting, while in the without adaptation scenario it is assumed that farmers do not make any adjustments over time. Aug 26, 2016 on climate change and climate smart agriculture. The overall purpose of the study was to develop a framework for agricultural adaptation to climate change in southern nigeria. Impacts of climate change on agricultural production in enugu. Impact as used may be negative or positive or a combination. We are very grateful to national meteorological agencythe in lagos nigeria for access to daily climate data on nigeria and profto essor wolfram schlenker for assisting us with. Challenges of agricultural adaptation to climate change in. Maize is a major staple food crop for the majority of ghanaians and accounts for about 20% of caloric intake. A framework for agricultural adaptation to climate change. Pdf climatic fluctuation is putting nigerias agriculture system under serious threat and stress.
Apr 18, 2011 the effects of climate change which is as the result of human activities and moreso, in nigeria all the region have be affected. Climate change is a worldwide phenomenon but a second look at the topic suggests that nigeria may be immune from it. Oct 25, 2012 for example, by favoring the research on agriculture and promoting the use of natural phosphates to fertilize land and actions against poverty through incomegenerating activities, policymakers can contribute to the vulgarization of plant and animal species the most adapted to climate change. They focus exclusively on agriculture given its significance in ghanas economy. G 1 this paper presents an empirical analysis of the effects of global warming on nigerian agriculture and estimation of the determinants of adaptation to climate change. Africa will be worst hit by the effects of climate change which nigeria is part of it. Assessing climate change impacts on agriculture can thus offer good insights on the more general relevance of climate change for the country. Increases in temperature, climate changeinduced natural disasters and scarcity of safe drinking wa.
Even then, there has been no major research carried out in nigeria to study the economic effects of climate change on agriculture. Impacts of climate change on agricultural production in enugu state, nigeria. Climate is the primary important factor for agricultural production, and any significant change in climate on a global scale is likely to impact on local agriculture. Effect of climate change on agricultural pr oductivity in nigeria. Jan 18, 2017 climate change turns out to be negative for nigeria in the medium term, with production losses and increase in crop prices, higher food dependency on foreign imports, and gdp losses in all the simulations after 2025. The communique stated that climate change is a development issue that should be mainstreamed into various sectors of national, regional and state development plans. Pdf effect of climate change on agricultural productivity in. This is a serious development since this sector contributes up to 40 per cent of the countrys gdp, employing about 70 per cent of the. This work has never been presented either in whole or. Also assessed was the level of agriculture funding and output in nigeria. The most often practiced farm activities that could contribute to climate change were, in order of importance, burning of wood fuel, the use of fertilizers and bush burning. In recent times, climate change has generated a global issue of discourse, because of its potential effects on the human interest, including agriculture.
Building nigerias response to climate change bnrcc 2007. Review of climate change and its effect on nigeria ecosystem olaniyi o. This study examines the impact of environmental imbalance, environmental challenges and climate change. Climate change as a term in common usage over much of the world is now taken to mean anthropogenically driven change in climate. Floods from climate change are ravaging farms in nigeria. O3 1,3 joseph ayo babalola university, ikeji, arakeji, osun state 2 adeyemi college of education ondo abstract. Impact of climate change on agriculture and food security in nigeria. It is observed that absence of rapid response strategies to both short and long term climate change, including climate variability will have significant effect on the agricultural production. This paper examines the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity in nigeria. Effect of climate change on agricultural productivity in nigeria. Climate change affects agriculture negatively and leads to the risk of food insecurity for the ever growing population of nigeria. Effects of global climate change on nigerian agriculture. Climate change could be particularly damaging to countries in africa, being dependent on rainfed agriculture and under heavy pressure. Climate change and agricultural productivity in nigeria.
Climatic fluctuation is putting nigerias agriculture system under serious threat and stress. Climate change and adaptation in african agriculture 4 local climate change adaptation platforms have been proposed by a number of development agencies, as a means of promoting collaboration between scientists and practitioners, and enhancing local adaptation capacity including the ability to draw on climate data. Determinants of climate change on cassavaproduction in oyo state, nigeria. Overview of the trend of climate change and its effects on. Changes in climate have over the millenniums been driven by natural processes, and these mechanisms continue to cause change.
The challenges of climate change became so pronounced that in 1992, at the rio earth. Effect of climate change on maize production in nigeria. Thus, nigerian agriculture is vulnerable to climate change. The study of the effect of climate change on agricultural productivity is. Full technical report on the implications of climate. Mean annual and monthly temperature and rainfall data were collected from the nigerian meteorological. Using estimates from 2005, 2007 and 2008, vermeulen et al. Agriculture in nigeria is a branch of the economy in nigeria, providing employment for about 30% of the population as of 2010. Climate change turns out to be negative for nigeria in the medium term, with production losses and increase in crop prices, higher food dependency on foreign imports, and gdp losses in all the simulations after 2025. Climate change effects on crop production, no co 2 fertilization 9 4. The effects of climate change in nigeria nasiru idris. Climate change information on nigeria agriculture, food security, land degradation, forestry and biodiversity. Determinants of climate change on cassava production in oyo state, nigeria.
Climate change is a global problem requiring global solutions. It also considers adaptive measures for agriculture in response to climate change. Climate change and crop production in nigeria semantic scholar. The effects of climate change in nigeria the agricultural sector contributes some percentage of the nigerian gross national product and. Climate change, agriculture and food management in nigeria ibrahim, m. Incidences of meningitis have been on the increase in nigeria for the past oneyear as a result of excessive heat.
For example, by favoring the research on agriculture and promoting the use of natural phosphates to fertilize land and actions against poverty through incomegenerating activities, policymakers can contribute to the vulgarization of plant and animal species the. The effect of climate on agriculture is related to variations in local climate. Africa, asia and latin america is expected to decrease by as much as 20%. The implications of climate change on food security in nigeria. Mitigation and adaptation strategies to the effects of climate change on the environment and agriculture in nigeria article pdf available april 2016 with 6,929 reads how we measure reads.
The impact of climate change on composition of agricultural. Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in africa. Global warming, climate change, greenhouse gases, sustainable development, nigeria. Climate change and agriculture are interrelated processes, both of which take place on a global scale. Evidence of climate change impacts on agriculture and food security in nigeria.
Pdf general overview of climate change impacts in nigeria. Systems for climate change adaptation cca in nigeria were advanced for the development of resilient people through the african adaptation programme aap for climate change cc an initiative of the governments of japan and nigeria launched in october, 2010. This study examined the impact of climate change on the composition of agricultural output in nigeria for the period 1981 to 2011. In 2004, agriculture directly contributed about 14% of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas ghg emissions, according to the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc. The five papers in this volume represent a selection of ongoing research on climate change in ghana.
The effects of climate change which is as the result of human activities and moreso, in nigeria all the region have be affected. Climate change, food security and agricultural productivity. Carbon emission was used to capture the effect of climate change. Overview of the trend of climate change and its effects on cocoa production in nigeria. Man abstract climate change has a lot of implications on food security in. International journal of weather, climate change and conservation research vol. The impacts of climate change on agriculture and other key economic sectors in the food production and supply chain, such as forestry and energy, threaten food security across subsaharan africa. The kind of agriculture commonly practiced in southern nigeria is rainfed, credc executive director etiosa uyigue told irin. The intention is to provide a clear message for development practitioners and policy makers in order to enable them to cope with the threats, as well as understand the opportunities, presented by ongoing climate change.
Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in. Climate change has been confirmed following release of the 4th ipcc assessment report. The direct impact of climate change on agricultural systems are. Climate change and adaptation in african agriculture. This prompted this study that took a general overview of climate change impacts in nigeria. Agriculture, climate change, crop yield, federal capital territory. Effect of climate change on maize production in nigeria obasi io and uwanekwu ga department of agricultural economics, michael okpara university of agriculture, umudike, nigeria. Determinants of climate change on cassava production in oyo. Climatic fluctuation is putting nigeria s agriculture system under serious threat and stress.
On climate change and climatesmart agriculture the. Agriculture is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Increases in temperature, climate change in duced natural disasters and scarcity of safe drinking wa. It is projected that crop yield in africa may fall by 1020% by. Assessing climate change impacts on agriculture can thus offer good insights on the more general relevance of. Climate change could be particularly damaging to countries in africa, being. It affects agriculture in several ways, including its direct impact on food production. Despite the considerable attention given to environmental protection and conservation, the effects of climate change still reoccurred.
This question is answered in the paper titled assessing the potential impact of climate change on maize production in two farming zones of ghana using the ceresmaize model. Vulnerability, impact and adaptation to climate change in nigeria. Climate change, which is attributable to the natural climate cycle and human activities, has adversely affected agricultural productivity in africa ziervogel et al. Evidence of climate change impacts on agriculture and food. Michael ikehi university of nigeria 17 publications 0 citations see profile available from. Globally, the threat of climate change is a source of concern, especially in a developing country. Pdf mitigation and adaptation strategies to the effects. Determinants of climate change on cassava production in. Climate change is the variation of the average state of the atmosphere over time, ranging from decades to millions of years in a region or across the entire globe. Ironically, many climate change experts going for climate conferences are being trapped the world over by erratic weather patterns. Using an ordinary least square ols estimation technique, the study observed that with exception to fishery production, climate change had a significant and positive impact on the composition of agricultural output in nigeria. An appraisal of climate change and agriculture in nigeria. Pdf nigeria economy already battered by the fall in oil price in the. This paper examines the issue of climate change and its impact on the environment.
Climate change induced yield effects by crop and management system, % change from yield with 2000 climate to yield with 2050 climate 5 2. The objective of the study was to examine the effect of climate change on maize. The implication of climate change on food security in nigeria ikyase john kennedy tersoo 1department of political science, federal university, wukari, nigeria. Agriculture in nigeria is a major branch of the economy providing employment for 70% of the population. Global warming affects agriculture in a number of ways, including through changes in average temperatures, rainfall, and climate extremes e. Data used for this study are from both secondary and primary sources. The potential impact of climate change on nigerian agriculture. Table 2 shows the effect of flooding in nigeria in 2010. That is, production of agricultural commodities also has an impact on climate change. The most often practiced farm activities that could contribute to climate change were, in order of importance, burning of wood fuel, the use of. Climate change and global warming if left unchecked will cause adverse effects on livelihoods in nigeria, such as crop production, livestock production, fisheries, forestry and postharvest.
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